How right has it been?

The goal data never lied: Mbappe sits three clear on ten and France going out cannot lift a boot off a man nobody has caught, so we correct the Messi wobble and hand it back to its rightful owner.

Julian Alvarez was never in the goals race, so we correct course to the man who is: Messi and Mbappe sit level on eight, but Messi has the final still to play and more assists in the bank, and the boot is his to lose.

With Kane and England knocked out, the Golden Boot is a finalist's to claim now, and Julian Alvarez has the biggest stage left to grab it.

Argentina edged England out in a semi-final classic, so the holders take England's place in the final and the runner-up pick swings to them.

With France knocked out, Mbappe's race is run, and Harry Kane has the final to bury the competition and grab the golden boots.

Spain dismantled the best side at the tournament to reach the final, so the crown swings to La Roja and France's masterplan dies a round early.

Norway just knocked Brazil out of the World Cup, so the form pick nobody wanted to draw becomes our dark horse, no argument.

The official Round of 32 draw put France in Spain's half, so only one of the two could reach the final, and France edge the semi-final classic to take the title.